Ed's Blog

"Some people know everything, but that's all they know."

THE ULTIMATE EXISTENTIAL THREAT TO AMERICA: A NEW WORLD ORDER

America as we know it faces the ultimate existential threat—a new world order (not the conspiracy theory) at which America is no longer the hub—and it will take much more than a change of the occupant in the White House to stem the tide.

America has faced many existential threats in its 335-year history. In every case, it has emerged stronger, more prosperous, and better prepared for the next one. Politically, economically, and militarily we have become the hub of the modern world order. That order is now threatened by the confluence of our monumental national debt, a global economic crisis, political upheaval in the Arab and Muslim worlds, the rise of China, and the desire by many countries that have benefited from the current order to change it.  (More)

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Filed under: China-Taiwan, Climate Change, National Security, Politics, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

26 Responses

  1. EWRoss says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Defense ViPs

    One of the best articles I have read on the current problems facing America. I could not agree more with this author. I would ad one point, as long as we have lifer politicians, gridlock will continue, because these lifers are only interested in maintaining power and control. If we are to get politicians that are willing to tackle the hard issues, we need to take away the power and control drug by instituting term limits. Also, lawyers should not be allowed to run for office. There is a built-in conflict of Interest when you have lawyers creating laws that they will benefit from when they leave office.

    Posted by Tim Di Guiseppe

    • Ladies & Gentlemen; Thank you. If I may share a true story. Back in 1945-46, which ushered in the UN, the IMF and the Keynesian economic system to rebuild Europe under the Marshall Plan, a US Major General and a German Advisor were placed in-charge of their respective sectors to employee the Keynesian program. Soon the Advisor, being confronted by his people to see what can be done to speed up the process, made a descission to switch over to the Austrian economic system freeing up the restrictions and regulations placed upon them. Within months the American Major General, noticing that the German sector was improving by leaps and bounds, then drove over to meet with the advisor and said; “So you’re using a different economic model. My people tell me that that system doesn’t work.” to which the German Advisor said; “Ya…My people tell me the same thing…But it vorks.”

      Anyway…The point is that we can see the same story unfold today. The Keynesian model is employed throughout Europe and America still today, which also coincides with the centralization of the banking and political communities.

      Recently it has been, and only been, Chancellor Merkel of Germany which is heading in the right direction for Europe and that is to drop the Keynesian Plan and adopt Austrian economics while opening trade with the Russian Federation. We are more closely aligned with the Russian Orthodox culture, than we are with the East. With the economic threat that Europe and America faces, we should all take the opportunity to follow her lead and decentralize to better address the concerns of their respective citizenry in a timely manner and to aid in prosperity. This must be accomplished soon. Why does this matter one may ask?

      It matters because just to the South is ‘Radical Islam’. Put your finger on a map. Now run a line from Seville to Volgograd. Their [Radical Islam] intent is to destroy the West. This is a fact. What Europe and America need realize and do to protect themselves is two things. One; switch to a free economic system to create individual prosperity which frees up the currency to afford a defense and , two, decentralize parts of their governing apparatus to better serve their people and gives that regional governing body a chance to respond to local threats in a timely manner.

      With a more productive economic system and a more locally decentralized system of governance which acts like ‘circling the wagons’, creating a quicker response time along their borders, from not having to wait from someone in ‘high command’ to issue a warning after years of debate, Europe and America may survive. As the system to sustain a culture is set up now…They will not.

      Best; John Wayne

  2. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Groups
    Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    America is a senior democratic republic at this stage. At some point citizens give up their hard won desire for freedom in trade for entitlement at someone else’s expense. I hope we can recapture those values that made us so distinctive and successful.

    Posted by Bob Brooks

  3. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    I’m not so sure that America dropping from the role of world leader is such a bad thing. Many other nations have filled that role in the past from Rome to France to England and they (well Italy not Rome) have survived reasonably well after losing their position as leader of the world. With our huge debt, along with energy and economic problems, pulling back from some of our world wide commitments might be a wise move. We enjoy some degree of geographical protection by way of mostly having our own continent. I expect stepping back and fixing some of our own problems would be a smart thing to do at this point in our history.

    Posted by John Flynn

  4. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    Individual freedom and the creative dynamism of our people unleashed is what energizes our republic. The politics of progressivism has over the last century attempted to harness that energy to the service of the state. What we are witnessing is the culmination of that experiment, and the limits of centralized authority. Too much power has been vested in Washington and the federal government is throttling private initiative. The traffic around Washington DC is emblmatic of the congestion clogging the heart of the American experiment. Devolution of power to the states will revitalize our country. Change is good. Let it come. The future will bring more challenges, but history has shown that a free people given their liberty have been more the up to the task of preserving their institutions.

    Posted by John Tucker

  5. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group Defense VIPs

    I have so much to say about this, and agree wholeheartedly with the writer. Our country has gone off the rails, and I don’t know if it can be fixed. And Tim, I agree with you that it cannot be corrected given our current political system.

    Scott Davis

  6. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Republican Party

    We are doomed to fall to mediocrity as someone else rises to power. It’s happened to every great empire. At least your are old enough to remember the golden years. Your grandchildren will be saddled with the debt your generation amassed.

    Posted by Maxwell Repplemeyer (LIGER)

  7. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    Though the whole of history is against it, let’s hope America stays strong. The world does not react well to empires in decline. Take your pick–when the leading power starts to fail, troubled times follow.

    Posted by Larry A. Grant

  8. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Politics on the Rocks

    On the Money. Soon as we become NOT IT. And IT owns “US.” Consider the rest, simply History. The Rise and Fall of the Roman Empire all over again…

    Posted by Anthony Venuti

  9. Lousailor says:

    I very much agree with Ed and wholeheartedly agree with Tim on term limits. Restricting both the Senate and Congress to only two terms, will cut the overarching influence of special and well-funded business interest organizations. Of course you had my ear and mind until mentioning Ann Colter. I refuse to waste a nanosecond of my attention to anything that Harpy has to say. The only rational thought she puts forth is how inflamatory she needs to be to sell her next book. Another flamethrower spewing fuel on the fire, while at the same time poking holes in the buckets others could use to put it out.

  10. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Center for a New American Security

    If you want to be taken seriously, you shouldn’t be citing Ann Coulter as an authority on anything other than (perhaps) how to distort what has happened to “prove” a point.

    Beyond that, a change in the world order that puts the US no longer at the center is hardly an “existential” threat. In other words, this seems more like the alarmist doomsaying you mention in your blog post than a serious piece of analysis. If studying history teaches us anything, it is that the current US position at the center of the international system will come to an end, though that time is probably decades away. That doesn’t imply anything about the continued existence of the US, contrary to your blog post.

    However, if you are serious in thinking that the causes of US decline include military overextension and debt, then the solution is most definitely not giving power to Republicans, even if Reagan were reborn. The economic data is readily available that shows the Reagan and Bush administrations did more to jack up the debt that any other administrations in the last 50 years, accompanied with slower economic (and job) growth. If you want a more prosperous America that can stave off decline, the evidence is quite clear. We need Jimmy Carter or Bill Clinton as president, not Reagan.

    Posted by Daniel Lake

    Like this discussion

  11. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: The Intelligence Community (IC)

    The flip side is that it could very well turn out to be “A New World Disorder”, that being the case.

    And then of course, it follows, what and who precisely emerges from that international chaos and vaccum?

    Just thinking out of the Red, White and Blue box for a moment.
    Good point.

    Posted by Thomas P. (Tom) Logan

  12. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Department of Defense

    Sadly enough atrocities as related above have and will always occur. The illusion that we (USA) can stop and change the world is exactly that – an illusion. Agree we need clear rules on EIT. The US military always had clear laws on interrogations. As a former 96C04B (Arabic/French/German -1972) and 35 series officer and FAO the best and most reliable information extracted was based on the willing cooperation of the subject. Language (foreign), a strong foundation in regional customs, history, religion, etc. + psychology produced results. Gathering information may take longer, but was effective. We never learned, trained or applied water treatment – the only exposure was during SEER training when captured by “the bad guys”. I always believed that to get results you are either good at your job or not. You do not need to bend the rules/laws to get results. That was always the American way. That is what made America strong and respected in the past throughout the world. Our foes in WWII, Korea, Vietnam were abusive in their methods. We were not perfect, but tried hard to maintain a sense of dignity and humanity in mission accomplishment. The use of torture was not part of the American way. Terrorists sows the seed of their own destruction as their acts erode (over time) their support. Presently most terrorist casualties are fellow Moslems, and do not think that this fact goes by unobserved by other moderate Moslems (the far majority). The radical Islamist will eventually lose because – bottom line – they pervert Islamic practice and teaching. No compassion for terrorists/murderers – or respect, just clear laws and clear punishment.

    Posted by COL (R) Donald H. Zedler

  13. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    I’m not a neo-con, and I don’t believe that it is in the best interests of the United States to be the world’s policeman. Its a habit that was formed in the midst of the cold war and when the Soviet Union collapsed, we didn’t know how to handle the change. Part of our problem is the fact that our allies have become wholly dependent upon us to guarantee their security, and allowed their own military capabilities to atrophy. NATO has become a collection of malingering cripples, no nation spends anywhere near the percentage of GDP on their security as we do. (yes that includes the UK) Thus we have been burdened with subsidizing the others. One might think they would be grateful, but in fact they resent us and work hard to undermine our own security initiatives when they can. We don’t have to be the Big Cop in every corner of the world. The Europeans in particular, should be required to assume the responsibilities if they are so unsatisfied with the way we’ve done it for them. I’m not saying we need to abandon NATO, but we can support it from our own shores. Its time for them to put up or shut up. And if they ever decide to stand up for themselves, then I would welcome that change.

    Posted by John Tucker

  14. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted From LinkedIn Group: The Heritage Foundation

    There is a big push for a new world order. This is fact, not a conspiracy theory. Is it too late to save this great country? Can we educate those who have been through our public school brainwashing system? I sure hope so.
    We all need to start talking in public, in forums, with literature and door to door campaigns. No more talk, more action. People are followers that want to fit in with the popular crowd. We must make the aware that we are the majority, not the left.

    Posted by Mary Bea Viehman

  15. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted From LinkedIn Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    Expecting “old” Europe to stand up? Hm is better to expect Rome of Athens to do so. But statistics and history indicate that the next world leader will come from the east. Let us hope this will be Australia as there are a lot of “American values” hidden in their culture, so our grandkids can enjoy freedom and individualism as you do in US.

    Posted by Radamanthys FOUNTOULAKIS

  16. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    If the Europeans, can’t stand on their own, then maybe its time to let ’em go. We’ve paid a heavy price to become far too entangled in their affairs. And worse yet is the desire among too many Americans to duplicate their farcical conceits here. Let us be done with them. Time for a little tough love. The labor unions and the greenies are far too powerful down under. As bad as they are in the US, they are even worse there, and have the ability to shut down the economy when they throw a tantrum. I love Australia, but they are too far away and too few to be a bulwark for anything. The situation in the US is dire, but it is not insurmountable. The question is: What will it take to correct our course and what impact will that have in the short term? I believe our long term prospects are as bright as ever, only concern is the consequence in the near term, when we finally decide to make the change.

    Posted by John Tucker

  17. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    John, I agree with you but, my personal thoughts are that you need the WWII generation to pass out as still the syndrome pappa-grandson exists due to the number of immigrants in the late 50′-60’s. So US will keep help the EU as the still feel double nationals, most of them having 2 passports anyway.

    Yes, we can cheat on you, naming US as the good Christian who helps the poor, but as you know better the golden financial years are gone for US and a change is needed.

    Let see the links, described above who and if fade these days.
    Additionally I am aware that a number of EU countries (not or from the ex-Soviet Union) are still using US as a shield against the Franco-German dominance, still the hidden fear of the 4th reich is somewhere around our old generation.

    Posted by Radamanthys FOUNTOULAKIS

  18. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Naval Postgraduate School Alumni

    Ron Paul will not become president of the United States. He’s not a serious candidate. But his candidacy is 20 years ahead of his time. The phenomena that animates him is rapidly advancing in American culture and points the way to where America will be in a generation. The advance of secular progressives has culminated and the nanny state has reached its limits. We need to re-evaluate the prevailing world view of the post WWII national security states and central bankers. We need to find a way to preserve our collective security without garrisoning the entire world. Americans are rediscovering the concept of liberty and that is where the future is.

    Posted by John Tucker

  19. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: Center for a New American Security

    Ed,

    I am sure that you have read Immanuel Wallerstein, “The Three Instances of Hegemony in the History of the Capitalist World-Economy” IntemationalJoumal of Comparative Sociology XXTV, 1-2 (1983). It’s a quick easy read. I like Wallerstein because he theorizes that hegemony is a part of a cycle and the cycle always changes. The hegemony always change due to the global economic cycle. He claims this as inevitable.

    Posted by Yvonne Eva Varela

  20. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: The Intelligence Community (IC)

    Ed, I am a bit puzzled by your assertion that the U.S. is under an “existential threat” caused by the changing world order in which will result in the U.S. losing its status as the “hub.” By this I presume you mean the will lose its status as a superpower and will no be the dominant force in international politics that it has been since WWII. Well I would argue that the U.S. has represented personal liberty and the rule of law under a constitutional government since it was founded and that its superpower status was an aberration that actually threatened these very qualities. A U.S. that is not at the center of the international stage would be a good not a bad thing.

    Posted by Richard Wright

    • EWRoss says:

      Richard, you raise an excellent point. My intent was to say that America’s decline, if we allow it to happen will take us far beyond the end of the U.S. as the world’s dominant superpower. Unfortunately having gone through the one-way door there is no going back. The same forces that could remove the U.S. from the hub could also undermine the constitutional government and personal liberty under the rule of law.

  21. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: The Intelligence Community (IC)

    What is plaguing America is the never-ending scare mongering, and crisis mindset. We are not about to pass through a horrifying “one-way door” into doom and gloom, America and the American way of life are *not* under existential threat. Will America eventually become less of a super-power in the world both financially and through less “soft power” influence?… of course. Does this mean that we should all freak out and blame “demonic” liberals… this is not only nonsense, but it disrupts any sensible discourse. Going from #1 to #2, or going to a world where there is no “superpower”, is not “the end of life as we know it”… it is not the “deterioration of the fabric of our society”.

    For a sensible discussion on modern Hegemonic Stability Theory just take a look at the former hegemons and where they are today. So how is Britain or the Netherlands doing? I’d say not too bad… stable governments, civil rights, strong economies, rule of law, they take care of their sick, stable business environments, etc etc etc.

    Posted by Wesley Herche

    • EWRoss says:

      Wesley, you make an excellent argument. Nevertheless, we’ll see what Europe looks like a year from now if Greece and Spain go bankrupt. Becoming a European-style social democracy is precisely what many Americans wish to avoid. Europe can exist and enjoy what it has because the United States pay’s 70 percent of the cost of NATO and does most of the fighting in wars an conflicts that protect European interests as well as American interests. In other words the world is what it is because the United States is what it is. When the U.S. ceases being what it is, the world will be a much different place.

  22. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: The Intelligence Community (IC)

    Agreed, a post-US Hegemon would look different. But again look at Britain… as the British empire fell in significance eventually the US picked up the slack to ensure stable global markets (this is exactly what the Brits were doing in the 1800s… even when they had to go to war over it). If China becomes the world superpower then they will also have to start carrying the burden of global “stability”… and as you’ve pointed out it’s a heavy price to pay for privilege of saying you’re “number one”. Alternatively if we move into a post-hegemon era where there is no real “superpower” (kind of like how the US will become an all “minority” country around 2042) then organizations like the UN and NATO will have to start taking on this burden.

    Wesley Herche

  23. From LinkedIn says:

    Reposted from LinkedIn Group: The Intelligence Community (I

    Superpowers come and go. just look at the history books.
    I assess that the usa wiil not be the only superpower within the next 20 years.
    the only question is who will be the next hegemons, China, India, Russia?

    About Greece, Spain and portugal, the USA will follow.with their spending China only has to wait the become the next supepower.

    one thing is sure it will not be the USA

    Posted by John de Raaff

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