Ed's Blog

"Some people know everything, but that's all they know."

DISSUADING IRAN FROM BUILDING A NUCLEAR WEAPON: THE LESSON OF THE CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS

Can the U.S. dissuade Iran from building a nuclear weapon without having to resort to the use of military force?

American presidents have a mixed record of success in the post-World War II world of influencing the decision making of our adversaries and avoiding war. Where they have succeeded—the October 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis is the prime example—it was because they were prepared to use the full force of American power; and the adversary had no doubt that they would do so.

When it comes to Iran, Israel’s threat to use unilateral force complicates U.S. decision making, but it should not prevent Washington from taking the lead and doing what is necessary.  (Read the full column at EWRoss.com)

Filed under: National Security, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

THE NORTH KOREA CONUNDRUM: THE DINOSAUR THAT WON’T GO EXTINCT

How is it that Stalinist North Korea continues to survive into the 21st Century when its communist-sister nations evolved? North Korea, now under Supreme Leader number three, Kim Jong-un, is the dinosaur that won’t go extinct. The answer is that China nurtures and protects North Korea, preferring it the way it is; and until the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) becomes a greater liability to China than an asset, it will continue to exist as a throwback to another era. The goal of U.S. North Korea policy, therefore, should be to hasten that day. (More)

Filed under: National Security, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

CUTTING DEFENSE AND AMERICA DOWN TO SIZE

Budget cuts already proposed by President Obama and those that could take effect if the “supercommittee” in Congress fails to agree on $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction could cut the defense budget more than $1 trillion over the next 10 years, devastating U.S. military capabilities. The Congress, as currently configured, is unlikely to allow such deep cuts in defense; but that doesn’t mean they eventually won’t happen. Despite our debt, America still has vast resources, but there’s growing disagreement on what we should spend them on, what threatens us, and the missions the U.S. armed forces should undertake, with one side of the argument wanting to cut America down to size. (More)

Filed under: National Security, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

MILITARY STRIKE ON IRAN RAPIDLY BECOMING ONLY OPTION

Recent media stories tell us of an internal Israeli government debate over attacking Iran’s nuclear weapons program as the International Atomic Energy Commission’s (IAEA) prepares to release its report that Iran could soon have its first nuclear weapon. Taking out Iran’s dispersed nuclear-weapons-related installations—many of which are deep underground—is a difficult task; and Iranian retaliation on Israel and U.S. forces in the region could set off a destructive and costly war. Nevertheless, military action by Israel and or the United States is rapidly becoming the only option left after sanctions and covert action have failed to do the job. (More)

Filed under: National Security, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

HOLDER DETERMINED TO PROSECUTE UNLAWFUL ENEMY COMBATANTS IN U.S. FEDERAL COURTS

Eric Holder, Attorney General Nominee

Image via Wikipedia

Attorney General Eric Holder is determined to prosecute unlawful enemy combatants (UECs) captured overseas in U.S. federal courts. And he has decided to do so with Ahmed Abdulkadir Warsame, a Somali national accused of terrorism captured in the Persian Gulf region in April and detained aboard a U.S. Navy ship. Bipartisan action in Congress prevented the Obama administration from trying terrorists held at Guantanamo in U.S. federal courts. Now Congress must close the loophole in the law to prevent Holder from trying UECs held on U.S. Navy ships in federal court.   (More)

Filed under: National Security, Terrorism, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

ISOLATIONIST REPUBLICANS VS. INTERVENTIONIST DEMOCRAT

Are Republicans returning to their isolationist roots while Democrats under President Barack Obama become more interventionist?

Polling results and recent statements by Republican presidential hopefuls suggest that Republicans are becoming more isolationists. Conversely, while the far left remains staunchly anti-war and non-interventionist, President Barack Obama, in the mold of his post-World War II Democratic predecessors, appears to be leading Democrats, albeit unwillingly, toward greater interventionism. He seeks to maintain substantial U.S. forces in Iraq. He continues the war in Afghanistan. He’s intervened in Libya. And he is conducting not-so-secret wars in Pakistan and Yemen.  (More)

Filed under: National Security, Terrorism, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

NEGOTIATING WITH THE TALIBAN: A SMART MOVE WITH THE RIGHT CARROTS AND STICKS

Chief Justice Shinwani from the Supreme Court ...

Image via Wikipedia

Listen to Ed’s Audio Blog:

The United States of America does not negotiate with terrorists (individuals or states); at least not the kind that plot and carry out terrorist attacks in U.S. cities or that holds hostages and makes unacceptable demands. It does negotiate with its enemies on the battlefield; and President Hamid Karzai’s announcement Saturday that Afghanistan and the United States are engaged in peace talks with the Taliban is a smart move with the right carrots and sticks.  (More)

Filed under: National Security, Terrorism, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

THE ULTIMATE EXISTENTIAL THREAT TO AMERICA: A NEW WORLD ORDER

America as we know it faces the ultimate existential threat—a new world order (not the conspiracy theory) at which America is no longer the hub—and it will take much more than a change of the occupant in the White House to stem the tide.

America has faced many existential threats in its 335-year history. In every case, it has emerged stronger, more prosperous, and better prepared for the next one. Politically, economically, and militarily we have become the hub of the modern world order. That order is now threatened by the confluence of our monumental national debt, a global economic crisis, political upheaval in the Arab and Muslim worlds, the rise of China, and the desire by many countries that have benefited from the current order to change it.  (More)

Filed under: China-Taiwan, Climate Change, National Security, Politics, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

NATIONAL SECURITY AND THE 2012 ELECTION

The state of the U.S. economy and jobs are the overwhelming issues that will determine the outcome of the 2012 presidential election. Still, in a close race, national security issues could play the decisive role.

Given the inherent advantages President Barack Obama has on national security as an incumbent president and the likelihood that Republicans will nominate a candidate better suited to challenge Obama on domestic issues, Mr. Obama will have an advantage. Insufficient attention by the Republican nominee to national security issues could be a politically fatal mistake.  (More)

Filed under: National Security, The Presidency, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

U.S. MILITARY ASSISTANCE TO PAKISTAN: There’s a Lot of Explaining to Do

Pakistan Soldier

Image by Nokes via Flickr

U.S. military assistance to Pakistan has been much debated since U.S. Navy SEALs killed Osama Bin Laden not far from the doorstep of the national military academy in Abbottabad, Pakistan, and only a short drive from downtown Islamabad. It’s inconceivable, many knowledgeable people believe, that the Pakistan government, or at the very least its Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) organization, didn’t know Bin Laden was there. How can we continue to give Pakistan billions of dollars in military assistance each year if they are knowingly harboring our worst enemies?  (More)

Filed under: National Security, Terrorism, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

GENERAL PETRAEUS TO CIA: Is He the Right Person to Replace Panetta?

David H. Petraeus

Image via Wikipedia

Listen to Ed’s Audio Blog:

President Barack Obama has named CIA Director Leon Panetta to replace Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and GEN David Petraeus to replace Panetta. My April 18 column discussed the kind of person that should replace Gates and concluded that Panetta may not be the right person for the job. What about Petraeus; is he the right person to lead the CIA in these troubled times, and how will Osama Bin Laden’s death affect how Petraeus does his job.  (More)

Filed under: National Security, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

THE NEXT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE?

Leon Panetta

Image via Wikipedia

Listen to Ed’s Audio Blog:

During his recent visit to Afghanistan, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates told the troops it likely would be his last visit to the war zone as Secretary. Gates departure from Defense has been long anticipated and there has been much speculation on whom President Obama will appoint to replace him. At the moment, CIA Director Leon Panetta appears to be the leading candidate, but is Panetta the best person to lead Defense given current circumstances, and if not, who is? What kind of person should replace Gates?  (More)

Filed under: National Security, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

QADHAFI WREAKS HAVOC ON THE AMERICAN POLITICAL CONSCIENCE

Gadhafi Appearances

Image by شبكة برق | B.R.Q via Flickr

Listen to Ed’s Audio Blog:

Moammar Gadhafi once again is wreaking havoc. This time it’s not over the skies of Lockerbie, Scotland, in a night club in Germany, or just in the cities and villages of Libya. He’s wreaking havoc on the American political conscience. With a reluctant president and the far left and the far right ganging up on the middle, the debate often resembles the chaos of a Marx brother’s movie. The situation, however, is deadly serious. How we deal with Qadhafi sends a message to repressors and rebels that will have a major impact on the course of events. And the sooner we have a doctrine that forms the basis of coherent strategy in the region, the more likely “Arab Spring” won’t turn out in Libya and other countries like “Prague Spring.” (More)

Filed under: National Security, Terrorism, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

THE LESSONS WE SHOULD LEARN FROM JAPAN: Are We Prepared?

Mega Disasters

Image via Wikipedia

Listen: Behind This Week’s Column:

The principal lessons Americans should learn from the Japan earthquake-tsunami-nuclear disaster is that no country, no matter how large, prosperous, or technologically sophisticated, is safe from disasters that overwhelm government rescue, relief, and recovery resources; and that life or death may depend on how practically and psychologically we prepare for them.

Knowing there is only so much government can do to prepare for and protect us from the unpredictable, and because mega-disasters are relatively rare, Americans generally don’t prepare for them, especially if we don’t live along hurricane prone coasts or in tornado alley. Now, however, might be a good time to start.  (More)

Note: I updated my column and my audio blog to revise the U.S. Death toll from 43,000 to 70,000, still the total is small by comparison.

Filed under: National Security, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

FIVE-DOLLAR-A-GALLON GAS: Time to Wise Up and Drill

Pie chart of world oil reserves by region

Image via Wikipedia

Amidst the turmoil spreading across the Middle East, Americans are once again faced with a spike in oil and gas prices; and we are hearing the same old arguments about U.S. dependence on foreign oil and what we should do about it. Oil crises, however, haven’t been long lasting in the past. When gasoline prices have approached and exceeded Americans’ threshold of pain—today that’s around $4.00 a gallon—calls to loosen restrictions on drilling offshore and in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) abound; but as soon gas prices drop back below that threshold, the clamor subsides. We’re on our way to $4.00-, perhaps $5.00-a-gallon gas. Will the powerful coalition of Democrats, environmentalists, and “green energy” advocates continue to prevent the exploitation of America’s oil reserves, or will they finally wise up?  (More)

Filed under: National Security, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Share This Blog

Bookmark and Share

EWRoss on Twiter

RSS EWRoss.com RSS

  • An error has occurred; the feed is probably down. Try again later.
Watch videos at Vodpod and other videos from this collection.
Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 2,449 other followers