Ed's Blog

"Some people know everything, but that's all they know."

WHO LOST TAIWAN?

In the early 1950s, one of the great debates in Washington, D.C., was over “Who lost China?” It was a highly charged and deadly serious partisan-political blame game to fix responsibility for allowing the Chinese Communist to seize control of China and drive the government of the Republic of China (ROC) to the island of Taiwan (Formosa). The world is vastly different now than it was then; but when it comes to finger-pointing, Washington, D.C. is not; and the seeds of a “who-lost-Taiwan” debate have been planted. (More)

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THE ULTIMATE EXISTENTIAL THREAT TO AMERICA: A NEW WORLD ORDER

America as we know it faces the ultimate existential threat—a new world order (not the conspiracy theory) at which America is no longer the hub—and it will take much more than a change of the occupant in the White House to stem the tide.

America has faced many existential threats in its 335-year history. In every case, it has emerged stronger, more prosperous, and better prepared for the next one. Politically, economically, and militarily we have become the hub of the modern world order. That order is now threatened by the confluence of our monumental national debt, a global economic crisis, political upheaval in the Arab and Muslim worlds, the rise of China, and the desire by many countries that have benefited from the current order to change it.  (More)

Filed under: China-Taiwan, Climate Change, National Security, Politics, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

TAIWAN’S NEEDS SHOULD GOVERN U.S. ARMS SALES

THIS POST IS FOR COMMENTS ON ED ROSS’ OP-ED IN DEFENSE NEWS

Has President Barack Obama changed the rationale that has underpinned U.S. arms sales to Taiwan for 30 years, adopting a new U.S. geo-strategic perspective on U.S.-China relations? If so, what risk does that entail for the United States? U.S. arms sales to Taiwan have been a contentious issue in U.S.-China relations since the establishment of formal diplomatic relations in January 1979. Since then, U.S. presidents have strived to meet the requirements of the Taiwan Relations Act – to provide Taiwan the defense articles and services it requires to maintain a sufficient self-defense capability – as they worked to improve the on-again/ off-again U.S.-China relationship. (More)

Filed under: China-Taiwan, , , , , , , ,

THE ONGOING CHINESE CIVIL WAR: Its Evolving Status Quo

The Taiwan Strait and the island of Taiwan.

Image via Wikipedia

Listen:  Behind This Week’s Column:

With all we see on our TV screens these days—union protests in Wisconsin, upheaval in the Middle East, the devastating earthquake in Japan—it’s no wonder that only die-hard China hands are paying close attention to the evolving status quo in the ongoing Chinese Civil War.

Which civil war is that? It’s the one that began in the 1920s between the Chinese Communists and Nationalists and was never settled by an armistice, peace treaty or surrender. It’s the one that resulted in three major Taiwan Strait Crises (1954-55, 1958, and 1995-96). It’s the one in which, today, China arrays 1500 short- and medium-rang ballistic missiles and its armed forces along the Taiwan Strait aimed at Taiwan, even as China and Taiwan enjoy an unprecedented level of cross-strait interaction. And it’s the one many U.S. policy makers wish would just go away.  (More)

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THE FUTURE OF U.S.-CHINA RELATIONS: The Kissinger Perspective

Henry Kissinger and Chairman Mao, with Zhou En...

Image via Wikipedia

Henry Kissinger’s January 13, 2010, column, appearing in the Washington Post, “Avoiding a U.S.-China cold war,” lays out the former Secretary of State’s vision for the future of U.S.-China relations on the eve of Chinese President Hu Jin-Tao’s visit to the United States. In classic Kissinger style he offers a geo-strategic vision for how the world’s two dominant powers of the 21st century should get along. “The aim should be to create a tradition of respect and cooperation so that the successors of the leaders meeting now continue to see it in their interest to build an emerging world order as a joint enterprise.” A lofty goal, to be sure, but is building a new world order with China as a joint enterprise in America’s best interest?  (More)

Filed under: China-Taiwan, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

THE PERENNIAL CHINA-POLICY DEBATE: Conciliation vs. Carrots and Sticks

In this political cartoon, the United Kingdom,...

Image via Wikipedia

Bill Gertz of the Washington Times in his October 20 “Inside the Ring” column reports on the current China-policy debate within the Obama administration. He identifies two opposing groups—the “kowtow” group, and the “sad and disappointed” group. Twenty-five years ago we called them the “convert-them-to-Christianity-and-democracy” group and the “let’s-just-outsmart-them” group. The U.S. players in the perennial China-policy debate change as administrations come and go, but the fundamental differences between two classic approaches to China remain the same. (More)

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